Arbeitspapier

Can the learnability criterion ensure determinacy in New Keynesian models?

Forward-looking RE models such as the popular New Keynesian (NK) model do not provide a unique prediction about how the model economy behaves. We need some mechanism that ensures determinacy. McCallum (2011) says it is not needed because models are learnable only with the determinate solution and so the NK model, once learnt in this way, will be determinate. We agree: the only learnable solution that has agents converge on the true NK model is the bubble-free one. But once they have converged they must then understand the model and its full solution therefore including the bubble. Hence the learnability criterion still fails to pick a unique RE solution in NK models.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2012/16

Classification
Wirtschaft
Existence and Stability Conditions of Equilibrium
Expectations; Speculations
Subject
New-Keynesian
Taylor Rule
Determinacy
E-stability
Learnability
Neukeynesianische Makroökonomik
Regression
Lernen
Rationale Erwartung
Taylor-Regel
Theorie

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Minford, Patrick
Srinivasan, Naveen
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(where)
Cardiff
(when)
2012

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Minford, Patrick
  • Srinivasan, Naveen
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Time of origin

  • 2012

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