Arbeitspapier

Expecting Brexit and UK Migration: Should I Go?

This paper examines the impact of the 2016 UK referendum and expecting Brexit on migration flows and net migration in the UK. We employ a Difference-in-Differences strategy and compare EU migration to non-EU migration before and immediately after the UK referendum of June 2016. We also investigate the potential secondary effects of the referendum on non-EU migrants by using different methodologies and various robustness checks. Our results show that after the referendum (i) migration inflows from the EU declined, (ii) emigration of EU migrants increased and (iii) net migration flows from EU countries to the UK fell. Our results are not driven by the potential spillover impacts on non-EU migrant workers. Overall, the findings show that migration in the UK declined after the Brexit referendum, even before any policy change.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 16156

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
International Migration
Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
Particular Labor Markets: Public Policy
Thema
UK migration
EU migration
Brexit

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Di Iasio, Valentina
Wahba, Jackline
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2023

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Di Iasio, Valentina
  • Wahba, Jackline
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2023

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