Arbeitspapier
Myanmar: Long-Term Scenarios for Sustained Macroeconomic Growth
We use a dynamic forecasting model to evaluate a wide array of opportunities for sustained economic growth in Myanmar. Our simulation results suggest that the government of Myanmar can advance potential growth drivers, by maintaining a stable macroeconomic environment that is conducive to private investment, promoting human capital development and public investment, facilitating domestic and international private agencies for market development, and strengthening regional economic integration. The government needs a balanced approach to sector interests to promote inclusive and equitable growth. Increasing agricultural productivity, for example, will not only benefit the country's rural poor majority, but it will also release labor resources to facilitate industrial and service sector development. Conversely, industrial and urban development will facilitate agrifood supply chains, improving market access and real incomes in rural areas. Public commitments to improving infrastructure, education, and public health will also be essential to realizing Myanmar's vast economic potential.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: ADB Economics Working Paper Series ; No. 429
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
- Thema
-
Calibrated General Equilibrium (CGE) model
economic forecasting
Myanmar
policy simulation
potential growth
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Roland-Holst, David
Park, Cyn-Young
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Asian Development Bank (ADB)
- (wo)
-
Manila
- (wann)
-
2015
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Roland-Holst, David
- Park, Cyn-Young
- Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Entstanden
- 2015
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