Arbeitspapier

Labour market transitions and economic incentives

Building on register data describing monthly labour market status for the whole Norwegian population 1992-95, we estimate grouped competing risk hazard rate models for transitions between employment, unemployment and non-participation. The models impose no parametric restrictions on either calendar time- or spell duration effects. There is a substantial business cycle element in all transition rates apart from transitions from employment to non-participation. Conditioned on observed covariates, there is a strong negative duration dependence in transitions from unemployment to employment. Economic incentives play an important role in transitions from unemployment to employment, as well as in transitions from employment to nonparticipation. A 10 per cent increase in the unemployment benefit replacement ratio reduces the transition rate from unemployment to employment with 4-7 per cent, while it reduces the transition rate from unemployment to non-participation with 10- 13 per cent. Access to a particularly generous voluntary early retirement scheme increases the hazard rate from employment to non-participation with 40-80 per cent. More human capital entails higher job-to-job transition rates and lower transition rates to unemployment and non-participation. It is also associated with higher transition rates from unemployment to employment.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Memorandum ; No. 2000,15

Classification
Wirtschaft
Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Subject
Labour market transitions
unemployment duration
Arbeitslosigkeit
Dauer
Ökonomischer Anreiz
Erwerbstätigkeit
Arbeitsmarkt
Norwegen

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Røed, Knut
Zhang, Tao
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Oslo, Department of Economics
(where)
Oslo
(when)
2000

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Røed, Knut
  • Zhang, Tao
  • University of Oslo, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2000

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