Arbeitspapier

"Twin deficits" in Greece: In search of causality

The paper discusses the trajectories of the Greek public deficit andsovereign debt between 1980 and 2010 and its connection to thepolitical and economic environment of the same period. We payspecial attention to the causality between the public and the externaldeficit in the period after 1995, the post-Maastricht treaty period.We argue that, due to the European monetary unification processand the adoption of the common currency, causality ran fromthe external deficit to the public deficit. This hypothesis is testedeconometrically using both Granger Causality and Cointegrationanalyses. We find empirical support for this hypothesis.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IMK Working Paper ; No. 143

Classification
Wirtschaft
Fiscal Policy
International Investment; Long-term Capital Movements
International Lending and Debt Problems
Open Economy Macroeconomics
Subject
Greece
crisis
public debt
twin deficits
imbalances

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Nikiforos, Michalis
Carvalho, Laura
Schoder, Christian
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)
(where)
Düsseldorf
(when)
2014

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2015032510680
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Nikiforos, Michalis
  • Carvalho, Laura
  • Schoder, Christian
  • Hans-Böckler-Stiftung, Institut für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK)

Time of origin

  • 2014

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