U.S. monetary policy and emerging market credit cycles

Arbeitspapier

Foreign banks' lending to firms in emerging market economies (EMEs) is large and denominated primarily in U.S. dollars. This creates a direct connection between U.S. monetary policy and EME credit cycles. We estimate that over a typical U.S. monetary easing cycle, EME borrowers face a 32-percentage-point greater increase in the volume of loans issued by foreign banks than borrowers from developed markets face, with a similarly large effect upon reversal of the U.S. monetary policy stance. This result is robust across different geographical regions and industries, and holds for non-U.S. lenders, including those with little direct exposure to the U.S. economy. Local EME lenders do not offset the foreign bank capital flows; thus, U.S. monetary policy affects credit conditions for EME firms. We show that the spillover is stronger in higher-yielding and more financially open markets, and for firms with a higher reliance on foreign bank credit.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Series: Working Papers ; No. 17-9

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy ; Monetary Policy ; International Lending and Debt Problems ; International Business Cycles ; Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
• Thema: Global business cycle ; monetary policy ; emerging markets ; reaching for yield

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Bräuning, Falk ; Ivashina, Victoria
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
• (wo): Boston, MA
• (wann): 2017

Weitere Informationen

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/202912
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ