Arbeitspapier

Voting Islamist or voting secular? An empirical analysis of voting outcomes in Arab Spring Egypt

This paper empirically studies the voting outcomes of Egypt's first parliamentary elections after the Arab Spring. In light of the strong Islamist success in the polls, we explore the main determinants of Islamist vs. secular voting. We identify three dimensions that affect voting outcomes at the constituency level: the socio-economic profile, the economic structure and the electoral institutional framework. Our results show that education is negatively associated with Islamist voting. Interestingly, we find significant evidence which suggests that higher poverty levels are associated with a lower vote share for Islamist parties. Later voting stages in the sequential voting setup do not exhibit a bandwagon effect.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: MAGKS Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics ; No. 51-2012

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
Positive Analysis of Policy Formulation and Implementation
Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East
Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Political Economy; Property Rights
Cultural Economics: Religion
Economic Sociology; Economic Anthropology; Language; Social and Economic Stratification
Thema
Voting Outcomes
Arab Spring
Political Islam
Sequential Voting

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Elsayyad, May
Hanafy, Shima'a
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Philipps-University Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics
(wo)
Marburg
(wann)
2012

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Elsayyad, May
  • Hanafy, Shima'a
  • Philipps-University Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics

Entstanden

  • 2012

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