Arbeitspapier
Large Swings in Currencies driven by Fundamentals
Exchange rate returns are fat-tailed distributed. We provide evidence that the apparent non-normality derives from the behavior of macroeconomic fundamentals. Economic and probabilistic arguments are offered for such a relationship. Empirical support is given by testing against normality and through investigating the tail shapes of the fundamentals' distributions. The currently available data sets on floating exchange rates permit a clearer picture than the relatively short spans with macroeconomic data available previously.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper ; No. 06-086/2
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Foreign Exchange
- Thema
-
exchange rates
fundamentals
fat-tailed distributions
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Cumperayot, Phornchanok
de Vries, Casper G.
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Tinbergen Institute
- (wo)
-
Amsterdam and Rotterdam
- (wann)
-
2006
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Cumperayot, Phornchanok
- de Vries, Casper G.
- Tinbergen Institute
Entstanden
- 2006