Arbeitspapier

Extracting implicit density functions from short term interest rate options

Using option prices the expectations of the market participants concerning the underlying asset can be extracted as well as the uncertainty surrounding these expectations. In this paper a mixture of lognormal density functions will be assumed to analyze options on three-month Euribor futures for the period between August and November 2000. During this period the ECB raised the interest rates and intervened in the exchange markets, both actions that could have an effect on the expectations of a short term interest rate. As will be shown the expected mean as well as the higher moments of the distribution show quite large movements, which can in part be associated directly with these interventions.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: SFB 373 Discussion Paper ; No. 2001,47

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing; option pricing
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Monetary Policy
Estimation: General
Thema
monetary policy
implicit density function
interest rate options
market expectations

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Nielsen, Hannah
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes
(wo)
Berlin
(wann)
2001

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:kobv:11-10049957
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Nielsen, Hannah
  • Humboldt University of Berlin, Interdisciplinary Research Project 373: Quantification and Simulation of Economic Processes

Entstanden

  • 2001

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