Arbeitspapier

The Dominant Currency Financing Channel of External Adjustment

We propose a new channel through which exchange rates affect trade. Exploiting the heterogeneity in firms' foreign currency debt maturity structure around a large depreciation in Colombia, we show that debt revaluation compresses imports due to higher delinquencies and interest rates, while exports are unaffected. Natural and financial hedging successfully mute the import contraction. A costly state verification model with dominant currency financing (DCF) and exporting rationalizes these findings. Quantitatively, DCF explains a significant part of external adjustment in addition to the expenditure switching channel. Pricing exports in the dominant vs. producer currency mutes the effect of DCF on trade.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: CESifo Working Paper ; No. 10514

Classification
Wirtschaft
Foreign Exchange
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
Open Economy Macroeconomics
International Financial Markets
Banks; Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
Subject
imports
exports
foreign currency exposure
capital structure
exchange rates
debt revaluation
hedging

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Casas, Camila
Meleshchuk, Sergii
Timmer, Yannick
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)
(where)
Munich
(when)
2023

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Casas, Camila
  • Meleshchuk, Sergii
  • Timmer, Yannick
  • Center for Economic Studies and ifo Institute (CESifo)

Time of origin

  • 2023

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