Arbeitspapier
A simple and reliable way to compute option-based risk-neutral distributions
This paper describes a method for computing risk-neutral density functions based on the option-implied volatility smile. Its aim is to reduce complexity and provide cookbook-style guidance through the estimation process. The technique is robust and avoids violations of option no-arbitrage restrictions that can lead to negative probabilities and other impla usible results. I give examples for equities, foreign exchange, and long-term interest rates.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Staff Report ; No. 677
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
Financial Crises
Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing; option pricing
Financial Forecasting and Simulation
General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation
- Thema
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option pricing
risk-neutral distributions
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
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Malz, Allan M.
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- (wo)
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New York, NY
- (wann)
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2014
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Malz, Allan M.
- Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Entstanden
- 2014