Arbeitspapier
Climate change, agricultural production and food security: Evidence from Yemen
This paper provides a model-based assessment of local and global climate change impacts for the case of Yemen, focusing on agricultural production, household incomes and food security. Global climate change is mainly transmitted through rising world food prices. Our simulation results suggest that climate change induced price increases for food will raise agricultural GDP while decreasing real household incomes and food security. Rural nonfarm households are hit hardest as they tend to be net food consumers with high food budget shares, but farm households also experience real income losses given that many of them are net buyers of food. The impacts of local climate change are less clear given the ambiguous predictions of global climate models (GCMs) with respect to future rainfall patterns in Yemen. Local climate change impacts manifest itself in long term yield changes, which differ between two alternative climate scenarios considered, with implications for income and nutrition.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Kiel Working Paper ; No. 1747
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Computational Techniques; Simulation Modeling
Computable General Equilibrium Models
Economic Development: Agriculture; Natural Resources; Energy; Environment; Other Primary Products
Economywide Country Studies: Asia including Middle East
Climate; Natural Disasters and Their Management; Global Warming
- Thema
-
climate change
agriculture
food security
model-based assessment
Yemen
Klimaveränderung
Agrarproduktion
Nahrungsmittelpreis
Nahrungsmittelversorgung
Schätzung
Jemen
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Breisinger, Clemens
Ecker, Olivier
Al-Riffai, Perrihan
Robertson, Richard
Thiele, Rainer
Wiebelt, Manfred
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
- (wo)
-
Kiel
- (wann)
-
2011
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Breisinger, Clemens
- Ecker, Olivier
- Al-Riffai, Perrihan
- Robertson, Richard
- Thiele, Rainer
- Wiebelt, Manfred
- Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW)
Entstanden
- 2011
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