Arbeitspapier

Financial Liberalization and Business Cycles: The Experience of Countries in the Baltics and Central Eastern Europe

This paper extends the work of Kaminsky and Schmukler (2003) to the Baltic and Central Eastern European future Member States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial integration is observed in this specific sample of ?emerging markets?. This work finds some signs that, contrary to other emerging markets, this does not happen: for the future Member States, financial integration, similarly to the outcome observed in mature market economies, reduces cyclical volatility both in the short and in the long run. Weak indications are found that this may happen partially due to the anchoring of expectations provided by the EU Accession, and to the more robust institutional framework imposed by this process onto the countries in question.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Paper Series 1 ; No. 2004,23

Classification
Wirtschaft
International Lending and Debt Problems
International Economic Order and Integration
International Finance: General
International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
International Financial Markets
Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: General
Subject
Enlargement
European Union
financial liberalization
booms
busts
cycles
Bry-Boschan
volatility
Kapitalmarktliberalisierung
Konjunktur
Börsenkurs
Volatilität
Schätzung
EU-Erweiterung
Nordosteuropa
Ostmitteleuropa

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Vinhas de Souza, Lúcio
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2004

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Vinhas de Souza, Lúcio
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Time of origin

  • 2004

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