Arbeitspapier

The term structure of interest rates: Estimation and interpretation

This document reports the currently used term structure estimation method at the Bank of Finland and discusses interpretation of the results it generates.We start by introducing two widely used term structure estimation methods: the Cubic Spline Function method and the Nelson-Siegel approach.We compare their results, paying special attention to the smoothness of forward interest rates and distribution of pricing errors.Next, we introduce the Bank of Finland's method, commenting on its strenghts and weaknesses. Finally, we discuss interpretation of the term structure of interest rates with emphasis on the inflation expectations and the role of the time-varying risk premia.

ISBN
951-686-514-3
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Finland Discussion Papers ; No. 19/1996

Classification
Wirtschaft
Subject
term structure of interest rates
cubic splines
Nelson-Siegel
forward interest rates
relative value
inflation expectations
time-varying risk premia

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Seppälä, Juha
Viertiö, Petri
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
1996

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Seppälä, Juha
  • Viertiö, Petri
  • Bank of Finland

Time of origin

  • 1996

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