Arbeitspapier

Short-run fertility effects of parental leave benefits: Evidence from a structural model

Based on a structural model of fertility and female labour force supply with unobserved heterogeneity and state dependence, we evaluate the 2007 reform of parental leave benefits in Germany, which replaced a flat, means-tested benefit by a generous earnings-related transfer. The model predicts a short-term fertility effect of about 4%, which is consistent with recent quasi-experimental evidence. The fertility effect is strongest for first births and increases with income. We use the model for a number of counterfactual policy experiments in which we vary the generosity of parental leave benefits.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ZEW Discussion Papers ; No. 14-069

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Time Allocation and Labor Supply
Thema
Fertility
female labour supply
family policy
parental leave
latent class models
state dependence

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Stichnoth, Holger
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)
(wo)
Mannheim
(wann)
2014

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-371420
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Stichnoth, Holger
  • Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)

Entstanden

  • 2014

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