Arbeitspapier
Short-run fertility effects of parental leave benefits: Evidence from a structural model
Based on a structural model of fertility and female labour force supply with unobserved heterogeneity and state dependence, we evaluate the 2007 reform of parental leave benefits in Germany, which replaced a flat, means-tested benefit by a generous earnings-related transfer. The model predicts a short-term fertility effect of about 4%, which is consistent with recent quasi-experimental evidence. The fertility effect is strongest for first births and increases with income. We use the model for a number of counterfactual policy experiments in which we vary the generosity of parental leave benefits.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: ZEW Discussion Papers ; No. 14-069
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
Forecasting Models; Simulation Methods
Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
Time Allocation and Labor Supply
- Thema
-
Fertility
female labour supply
family policy
parental leave
latent class models
state dependence
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Stichnoth, Holger
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)
- (wo)
-
Mannheim
- (wann)
-
2014
- Handle
- URN
-
urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-371420
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Stichnoth, Holger
- Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)
Entstanden
- 2014