Arbeitspapier

Measuring The UK Short-Run NAIRU

This paper derives alternative measures of the short-run NAIRU (SRN) for the UK, the rate for unemployment at which inflation will neither increase nor decrease in the short-run. We estimate the NAIRU jointly with price equations by using the Kalman filter. Our work suggests that both structural changes in the labour market and favourable supply shocks may have had a beneficial impact on RPIX inflation over the last few years. We show that deviations of unemployment from the short-run NAIRU measures prove helpful in predicting inflation and we demonstrate their usefulness in Taylor-type policy rules for the interest rate.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: External MPC Unit Discussion Paper ; No. 12

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Batini, Nicoletta
Greenslade, Jennifer
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of England, External Monetary Policy Committee Unit
(wo)
London
(wann)
2003

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Batini, Nicoletta
  • Greenslade, Jennifer
  • Bank of England, External Monetary Policy Committee Unit

Entstanden

  • 2003

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