Arbeitspapier

Infrequent Permanent Shoks and Signal Extraction in Macroeconomic Time Series

A procedure based on density estimation is suggested in the paper to discriminate trend stationary processes about local linear time trends from difference stationary processes. A 'rule of thumb' is constructed to detect the suitability of a segmented trend representation, and a regression analysis is used to identify the number and the dates of structural breaks. The U.S. series of nominal wages over the period 1900-1970 is analysed according to the assumption the dynamics are driven by exogenous shocks which occur infrequently. In a multivariate domain, implications of segmented trend modeling for cointegration theory are also briefly considered.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Quaderni - Working Paper DSE ; No. 141

Classification
Wirtschaft

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Bianchi, Marco
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche (DSE)
(where)
Bologna
(when)
1992

DOI
doi:10.6092/unibo/amsacta/5219
Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

This object is provided by:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.

Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Bianchi, Marco
  • Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna, Dipartimento di Scienze Economiche (DSE)

Time of origin

  • 1992

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