Arbeitspapier
The Robustness Reproducibility of the American Economic Review
We estimate the robustness reproducibility of key results from 17 non-experimental AER papers published in 2013 (8 papers) and 2022/23 (9 papers). We find that many of the results are not robust, with no improvement over time. The fraction of significant robustness tests (p﹤0.05) varies between 17% and 88% across the papers with a mean of 46%. The mean relative t/z-value of the robustness tests varies between 35% and 87% with a mean of 63%, suggesting selective reporting of analytical specifications that exaggerate statistical significance. A sample of economists (n=359) overestimates robustness reproducibility, but predictions are correlated with observed reproducibility.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: I4R Discussion Paper Series ; No. 124
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
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Campbell, Douglas
Brodeur, Abel
Dreber, Anna
Johannesson, Magnus
Kopecky, Joseph
Lusher, Lester
Tsoy, Nikita
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Institute for Replication (I4R)
- (wo)
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s.l.
- (wann)
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2024
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Campbell, Douglas
- Brodeur, Abel
- Dreber, Anna
- Johannesson, Magnus
- Kopecky, Joseph
- Lusher, Lester
- Tsoy, Nikita
- Institute for Replication (I4R)
Entstanden
- 2024