Artikel

The relation between monetary policy and the stock market in Europe

We use a cointegrated structural vector autoregressive model to investigate the relation between monetary policy in the euro area and the stock market. Since there may be an instantaneous causal relation, we consider long-run identifying restrictions for the structural shocks and also used (conditional) heteroscedasticity in the residuals for identification purposes. Heteroscedasticity is modelled by a Markov-switching mechanism. We find a plausible identification scheme for stock market and monetary policy shocks which is consistent with the second-order moment structure of the variables. The model indicates that contractionary monetary policy shocks lead to a long-lasting downturn of real stock prices.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: Econometrics ; ISSN: 2225-1146 ; Volume: 6 ; Year: 2018 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 1-14 ; Basel: MDPI

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Thema
cointegrated vector autoregression
heteroscedasticity
Markov-switching model
monetary policy analysis

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Lütkepohl, Helmut
Netšunajev, Aleksei
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
MDPI
(wo)
Basel
(wann)
2018

DOI
doi:10.3390/econometrics6030036
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Lütkepohl, Helmut
  • Netšunajev, Aleksei
  • MDPI

Entstanden

  • 2018

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