Arbeitspapier
On creditor seniority and sovereign bond prices in Europe
The recent increase of interest rate spreads in Europe and their apparent detachment from underlying fundamental variables has generated a debate on multiple equilibria in the sovereign bond market (see Grauwe and Ji (2012)). We critically evaluate this hypothesis, by pointing towards an alternative explanation: the increasing share of senior lenders (IMF, ECB, EFSF, etc.) in the total outstanding government debt of countries in crisis. We illustrate the close relationship between senior tranche lending - including Target2 balances - and recent developments in the sovereign bond market, both graphically and in a formal regression analysis.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: Working Paper ; No. 92
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
International Lending and Debt Problems
Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
Governmental Loans; Loan Guarantees; Credits; Grants; Bailouts
- Thema
-
Government bond spreads
Eurozone
senior tranche lending
multiple equilibria
sovereign debt crisis
Target
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Steinkamp, Sven
Westermann, Frank
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Osnabrück University, Institute of Empirical Economic Research
- (wo)
-
Osnabrück
- (wann)
-
2012
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Steinkamp, Sven
- Westermann, Frank
- Osnabrück University, Institute of Empirical Economic Research
Entstanden
- 2012