Arbeitspapier

Long-run consequences of natural disasters: Evidence from Tangshan

Exploiting Tangshan 1976 - the deadliest earthquake in the 20th century - as a source of exogenous variation, we estimate the long-run effect of a historical shock on contemporary socio-economic outcomes. Cohorts born after the earthquake were not only larger, but exhibit lower school completion rates, particularly among the female today. Despite lower schooling levels, there is no evidence for adverse labour market outcomes. We conduct robustness checks and argue that the effect is causal.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: DIW Discussion Papers ; No. 1117

Classification
Wirtschaft
Education and Research Institutions: General
Labor and Demographic Economics: General
Economic Development: Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
Subject
environmental shock
earthquake
natural disaster
education
fertility
Erdbeben
Bildungsverhalten
Fruchtbarkeit
China

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Xu, Guo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)
(where)
Berlin
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Xu, Guo
  • Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (DIW)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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