Arbeitspapier

Sovereign credit ratings and financial markets linkages: application to European data

We use EU sovereign bond yield and CDS spreads daily data to carry out an event study analysis on the reaction of government yield spreads before and after announcements from rating agencies (Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch). Our results show: significant responses of government bond yield spreads to changes in rating notations and outlook, particularly in the case of negative announcements; announcements are not anticipated at 1-2 months horizon but there is bi-directional causality between ratings and spreads within 1-2 weeks; spillover effects especially from lower rated countries to higher rated countries; and persistence effects for recently downgraded countries.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ECB Working Paper ; No. 1347

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
International Financial Markets
Thema
credit ratings
rating agencies
sovereign yields

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Afonso, António
Furceri, Davide
Gomes, Pedro
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
European Central Bank (ECB)
(wo)
Frankfurt a. M.
(wann)
2011

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Afonso, António
  • Furceri, Davide
  • Gomes, Pedro
  • European Central Bank (ECB)

Entstanden

  • 2011

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