Macroeconomic Productivity Effects of Artificial Intelligence

Abstract: Some observers expect that the current wave of new tools based on artificial intelligence (AI) models, such as the large language models, will have strong effects on labor productivity. I present definitions and classifications that help understanding AI as an economic input. I then review theoretical and empirical arguments about macroeconomic productivity effects of AI and conclude that research has so far found no indication that productivity effects of the diffusion of AI are likely to be higher than those associated with the internet boom around the year 2000. While considerable uncertainty around future effects remains, a recent review and calibration exercise by Acemoglu, D. (2024. The Simple Macroeconomics of AI. Cambridge, MA: National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper 32487) suggests that the effects might be a lot lower.

Location
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Extent
Online-Ressource
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Macroeconomic Productivity Effects of Artificial Intelligence ; volume:21 ; number:2 ; year:2024 ; pages:327-333 ; extent:07
The Economists' voice ; 21, Heft 2 (2024), 327-333 (gesamt 07)

Creator
Saam, Marianne

DOI
10.1515/ev-2024-0072
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2412181807594.656193012087
Rights
Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
Last update
15.08.2025, 7:34 AM CEST

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Associated

  • Saam, Marianne

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