Artikel

Forecasting the volatilities of the Nigeria stock market prices

The objective of this work is to assess and forecast the volatilities of prices on the Nigeria Stock Exchange. The ARCH family (ARCH, GARCH, TGARCH, EGARCH and PGARCH) and ARIMA models are used to assess and forecast volatilities in prices on the Nigeria stock market. The EGARCH model is found to be the most efficient for forecasting volatilities and has the capability to show the asymmetric effect. The assessment of volatilities in prices for 1985 to 2014 shows clustering, over the years. The forecasting performance shows the volatility in the Nigeria stock market to be on the increase for the next four years.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Journal: CBN Journal of Applied Statistics ; ISSN: 2476-8472 ; Volume: 08 ; Year: 2017 ; Issue: 2 ; Pages: 23-45 ; Abuja: The Central Bank of Nigeria

Classification
Wirtschaft
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
Subject
ARCH Models
ARIMA
Forecasting
Volatility

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Ibrahim, Sikiru O.
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
The Central Bank of Nigeria
(where)
Abuja
(when)
2017

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Artikel

Associated

  • Ibrahim, Sikiru O.
  • The Central Bank of Nigeria

Time of origin

  • 2017

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