Artikel
Determinants and predictors of SMEs' financial failure: a logistic regression approach
This paper aims to identify the determinants and predictors of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs)' financial failure. Within this framework, we have opted for a quantitative method based on a sample of healthy and failing SMEs of a Moroccan bank. The main results of the different optimal models are obtained by the stepwise method of estimating logistic regression. These results show, in a normal economic context, that the variables that discriminate between healthy and failing SMEs are the main predictors of financial failure. Autonomy ratio, interest to sales, asset turnover, days in accounts receivable, and duration of trade payables are the variables that increase the probability of financial failure, while repayment capacity and return on assets reduce the probability of failure. These variables present an overall classification rate of healthy and failing SMEs of 91.11% three years before failure and of 84.44% two years and one year before failure.
- Language
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Englisch
- Bibliographic citation
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Journal: Risks ; ISSN: 2227-9091 ; Volume: 8 ; Year: 2020 ; Issue: 4 ; Pages: 1-21 ; Basel: MDPI
- Classification
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Wirtschaft
- Subject
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SMEs
determinants of financial failure
predictors of financial failure
logistic regression
- Event
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (who)
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Zizi, Youssef
Oudgou, Mohamed
El Moudden, Abdeslam
- Event
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Veröffentlichung
- (who)
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MDPI
- (where)
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Basel
- (when)
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2020
- DOI
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doi:10.3390/risks8040107
- Handle
- Last update
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10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET
Data provider
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. If you have any questions about the object, please contact the data provider.
Object type
- Artikel
Associated
- Zizi, Youssef
- Oudgou, Mohamed
- El Moudden, Abdeslam
- MDPI
Time of origin
- 2020
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