Demographic effects on the German labour supply: a decomposition analysis
Abstract: "Forecasts show a substantially decreasing and ageing labour force in Germany. This paper provides a decomposition of the projected change in the overall labour force into three parts. The first, called the 'demographic component', shows the effects of fertility, mortality and a changing age structure of the population. The second effect is the migration component. This part is due to the cumulative net inflow of migrants, but includes their reproductive behaviour as well. Changes in the participation rates give the third effect, the participation component. The decomposition was conducted by comparing different labour force scenarios until 2050. The method can easily be extended for decomposition into more than three factors. Not surprisingly, the downward trend in the labour force is attributable only to population effects. Ageing of the baby-boom generation and low birth rates both are the responsible factors behind. Neither a strong increase in labour force participation nor la
- Weitere Titel
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Demografische Effekte auf das deutsche Arbeitskräfteangebot: eine Dekompositionsanalyse
- Standort
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Deutsche Nationalbibliothek Frankfurt am Main
- Umfang
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Online-Ressource, 28 S.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Anmerkungen
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Preprint
begutachtet
- Erschienen in
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IAB Discussion Paper: Beiträge zum wissenschaftlichen Dialog aus dem Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung ; Bd. 31/2008
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wo)
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Nürnberg
- (wann)
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2008
- Urheber
- Beteiligte Personen und Organisationen
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Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (IAB)
- URN
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urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-307693
- Rechteinformation
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Open Access unbekannt; Open Access; Der Zugriff auf das Objekt ist unbeschränkt möglich.
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
15.08.2025, 07:34 MESZ
Datenpartner
Deutsche Nationalbibliothek. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.
Beteiligte
- Fuchs, Johann
- Söhnlein, Doris
- Weber, Brigitte
- Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung der Bundesagentur für Arbeit (IAB)
Entstanden
- 2008
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