Arbeitspapier

Are monetary unions more synchronous than non-monetary unions?

Within currency unions, the conventional wisdom is that there should be a high degree of macroeconomic synchronicity between the constituent parts of the union. But this conjecture has never been formally tested by comparing sample of monetary unions with a control sample of countries that do not belong to a monetary union. In this paper we take euro area data, US State macro data, Canadian provincial data and Australian state data — namely real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, the GDP deflator growth and unemployment rate data — and use techniques relating to recurrence plots to measure the degree of synchronicity in dynamics over time using a dissimilarity measure. The results show that for the most part monetary unions are more synchronous than non-monetary unions, but that this is not always the case and particularly in the case of real GDP growth. Furthermore, Australia is by far the most synchronous monetary union in our sample.

ISBN
978-952-323-053-8
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 11/2015

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics: Other
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
International Business Cycles
Macroeconomic Issues of Monetary Unions
Economic Impacts of Globalization: Macroeconomic Impacts

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Crowley, Patrick M.
Trombley, Christopher
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Bank of Finland
(wo)
Helsinki
(wann)
2015

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Crowley, Patrick M.
  • Trombley, Christopher
  • Bank of Finland

Entstanden

  • 2015

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