Arbeitspapier

The Spike at Benefit Exhaustion in the Finnish Labor Market

Many studies have found that the exit rate from unemployment increases in the vicinity of the exhaustion day of unemployment insurance benefits. The extent to which this "spike" is driven by job search behavior is important for assessing the distortionary effect of unemployment insurance. Card, Chetty and Weber (American Economic Review 2007; 97: 113-118) find a large spike in the exit rate from registered unemployment but only a very small spike in the job finding rate in Austria. We replicate their analysis using matched register data for Finland. We find a large spike also in the job finding rate at the time of benefit exhaustion, even though it is clearly smaller than the spike in the exit rate from unemployment benefits. In addition, we demonstrate difficulties in measuring the time to benefit exhaustion when the benefit entitlement can elapse at a reduced rate during activation measures or part-time working. Unless the remaining benefit entitlement is directly observed in the data, the resulting measurement error can lead to downward biased estimates of the spikes at benefit exhaustion.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 10798

Classification
Wirtschaft
Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings
Subject
layoffs
unemployment insurance
hazard rates

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Kyyrä, Tomi
Pesola, Hanna
Verho, Jouko Kullervo
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2017

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Kyyrä, Tomi
  • Pesola, Hanna
  • Verho, Jouko Kullervo
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2017

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