Arbeitspapier

Real wages and the business cycle: accounting for worker and firm heterogeneity

Using a longitudinal matched employer-employee data set for Portugal over the 1986-2005 period, this study analyzes the heterogeneity in wages responses to aggregate labor market conditions for newly hired workers and existing workers. Accounting for both worker and firm heterogeneity, the data support the hypothesis that entry wages are much more procyclical than current wages. A one-point increase in the unemployment rate decreases wages of newly hired male workers by around 2.8% and by just 1.4% for workers in continuing jobs. Since we estimate the fixed effects, we were able to show that unobserved heterogeneity plays a non-trivial role in the cyclicality of wages. In particular, worker fixed effects of new hires and separating workers behave countercyclically, whereas firm fixed effects exhibit a procyclical pattern. Finally, the results reveal, for all workers, a wage-productivity elasticity of 1.2, slightly above the one-for-one response predicted by the Mortensen-Pissarides model.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 4174

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Thema
Wage cyclicality
hires
firm-specific effects
compositional effects
labor productivity
Reallohn
Konjunktur
Arbeitsnachfrage
Arbeitsproduktivität
Arbeitslosigkeit
Lohnbildung
Portugal

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Carneiro, Anabela
Guimarães, Paulo
Portugal, Pedro
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2009

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:101:1-2009060866
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Carneiro, Anabela
  • Guimarães, Paulo
  • Portugal, Pedro
  • Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2009

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