Real wages and the business cycle: accounting for worker and firm heterogeneity

Arbeitspapier

Using a longitudinal matched employer-employee data set for Portugal over the 1986-2005 period, this study analyzes the heterogeneity in wages responses to aggregate labor market conditions for newly hired workers and existing workers. Accounting for both worker and firm heterogeneity, the data support the hypothesis that entry wages are much more procyclical than current wages. A one-point increase in the unemployment rate decreases wages of newly hired male workers by around 2.8% and by just 1.4% for workers in continuing jobs. Since we estimate the fixed effects, we were able to show that unobserved heterogeneity plays a non-trivial role in the cyclicality of wages. In particular, worker fixed effects of new hires and separating workers behave countercyclically, whereas firm fixed effects exhibit a procyclical pattern. Finally, the results reveal, for all workers, a wage-productivity elasticity of 1.2, slightly above the one-for-one response predicted by the Mortensen-Pissarides model.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 4174

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials ; Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity ; Business Fluctuations; Cycles
• Subject: Wage cyclicality ; hires ; firm-specific effects ; compositional effects ; labor productivity ; Reallohn ; Konjunktur ; Arbeitsnachfrage ; Arbeitsproduktivität ; Arbeitslosigkeit ; Lohnbildung ; Portugal

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Carneiro, Anabela ; Guimarães, Paulo ; Portugal, Pedro
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
• (where): Bonn
• (when): 2009

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/35381
• URN: urn:nbn:de:101:1-2009060866
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET