Arbeitspapier

Dispersion over the business cycle: Passthrough, productivity, and demand

We characterize the dispersion of firm-level productivity and demand shocks using Swedish microdata including prices and utilization and analyse the consequences for firms and the aggregate economy. Demand dispersion increases by more than TFPQ dispersion in recessions. Productivity shocks pass through incompletely to prices and have limited effect on sales dispersion. Demand shocks explain most of the variation in sales dispersion. In a heterogeneousfirm model matching the micro facts, demand dispersion has unambiguously negative effects on output via a "wait and see" channel. Productivity dispersion does not generate "wait and see" effects, but affects output negatively by inducing markup dispersion.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Sveriges Riksbank Working Paper Series ; No. 414

Classification
Wirtschaft
Firm Behavior: Theory
Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
Subject
demand estimation
productivity
variable markups
business cycles
dispersion
uncertainty
passthrough
adjustment costs

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Carlsson, Mikael
Clymo, Alex
Joslin, Knut-Eric
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Sveriges Riksbank
(where)
Stockholm
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Carlsson, Mikael
  • Clymo, Alex
  • Joslin, Knut-Eric
  • Sveriges Riksbank

Time of origin

  • 2022

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