Arbeitspapier

Gibson's paradox, monetary policy, and the emergence of cycles

Many empirical studies have found that interest rate have a positive effect on the price level. This paper pursues an obvious, but neglected explanation: interest payments are a cost of production that is at least in part passed on to costumers. A model shows that the cost-push effect of inflation, long known as Gibson's paradox, intensifies destabilizing forces and can be involved in the generation of cycles. An empirical investigation finds that the positive association of interest rates with inflation or the log of the price level is present in data from the 1950s to present.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 410

Classification
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
General Aggregative Models: Marxian; Sraffian; Kaleckian
General Aggregative Models: Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Monetary Policy
Subject
Gibson's Paradox
Inflation
Monetary Policy Rules
Nonlinear Dynamics

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hannsgen, Greg
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
(where)
Annandale-on-Hudson, NY
(when)
2004

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:45 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hannsgen, Greg
  • Levy Economics Institute of Bard College

Time of origin

  • 2004

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