Turkish EU Membership: A Simulation Study of Economic Effects

Arbeitspapier

This paper evaluates the economic effects of Turkish EU membership. The evaluation is based on a widely utilized computable general equilibrium model called GTAP (Global Trade Analysis Project). Imperfect competition is modelled via assumption of scale economies on non agricultural sectors. The latest GTAP database version (base year 2001) is aggregated into seven regions: Turkey, Germany-Austria, North EU, South EU, Balkan countries, NAFTA, ASIA and Rest of World. We analyse economic effects of abolishing trade barriers between the EU25 and Turkey and applying common external tax on Turkey. Major sectoral effects are bound to originate from the agriculture which accounts 11.4 % of Turkey's GDP.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: Discussion paper ; No. 10

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Computable General Equilibrium Models ; Economic Integration ; Trade: Forecasting and Simulation
• Subject: GTAP ; Turkey ; EU enlargement

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Sulamaa, Pekka ; Widgrén, Mika
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Aboa Centre for Economics (ACE)
• (where): Turku
• (when): 2006

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/233226
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET