Arbeitspapier
Can tax rate increases foster investment under entry and exit flexibility? Insights from an economic experiment
It is well-known that taxes affect risky investment decisions. Analytical studies indicate that tax rate increases can foster (accelerate) investment if there is flexibility, in particular when an exit option is available. We design an experiment that is based on an analytical model with binomial random walk and entry and exit flexibility. Contrasting the underlying model, we find accelerated investment, which is often considered as an increased willingness to invest, on tax rate increases to be independent of the existence of an exit option. However, we observe this investor reaction only for a tax increase, not for a tax decrease. This investment behavior is driven possibly by tax salience and the mechanisms known from the theory of irreversible choice under uncertainty. Our empirical evidence suggests that the accelerating tax effects are much more common than is predicted by the theoretical literature. Policy makers should therefore carefully consider the behavioral aspects when anticipating taxpayer reactions.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: arqus Discussion Paper ; No. 166
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Business Taxes and Subsidies including sales and value-added (VAT)
Taxation and Subsidies: Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
- Thema
-
Investment Decisions
Tax Effects
Timing Flexibility
Economic Experiment
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Fahr, René
Janssen, Elmar
Sureth, Caren
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre (arqus)
- (wo)
-
Berlin
- (wann)
-
2014
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Fahr, René
- Janssen, Elmar
- Sureth, Caren
- Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre (arqus)
Entstanden
- 2014