Arbeitspapier

Can tax rate increases foster investment under entry and exit flexibility? Insights from an economic experiment

It is well-known that taxes affect risky investment decisions. Analytical studies indicate that tax rate increases can foster (accelerate) investment if there is flexibility, in particular when an exit option is available. We design an experiment that is based on an analytical model with binomial random walk and entry and exit flexibility. Contrasting the underlying model, we find accelerated investment, which is often considered as an increased willingness to invest, on tax rate increases to be independent of the existence of an exit option. However, we observe this investor reaction only for a tax increase, not for a tax decrease. This investment behavior is driven possibly by tax salience and the mechanisms known from the theory of irreversible choice under uncertainty. Our empirical evidence suggests that the accelerating tax effects are much more common than is predicted by the theoretical literature. Policy makers should therefore carefully consider the behavioral aspects when anticipating taxpayer reactions.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: arqus Discussion Paper ; No. 166

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Taxes and Subsidies including sales and value-added (VAT)
Taxation and Subsidies: Efficiency; Optimal Taxation
Design of Experiments: Laboratory, Individual
Thema
Investment Decisions
Tax Effects
Timing Flexibility
Economic Experiment

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Fahr, René
Janssen, Elmar
Sureth, Caren
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre (arqus)
(wo)
Berlin
(wann)
2014

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Fahr, René
  • Janssen, Elmar
  • Sureth, Caren
  • Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre (arqus)

Entstanden

  • 2014

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