Arbeitspapier

Price level targeting with evolving credibility

We examine global dynamics under learning in a nonlinear New Keynesian model when monetary policy uses price-level targeting and compare it to inflation targeting. Domain of attraction of the targeted steady state gives a robustness criterion for policy regimes. Robustness of price-level targeting depends on whether a known target path is incorporated into learning. Credibility is measured by accuracy of this forecasting method relative to simple statistical forecasts. Credibility evolves through reinforcement learning. Initial credibility and initial level of target price are key factors influencing performance. Results match the Swedish experience of price level stabilization in 1920's and 30s.

ISBN
978-952-323-213-6
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers ; No. 5/2018

Classification
Wirtschaft
Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Honkapohja, Seppo
Kaushik, Mitra
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Bank of Finland
(where)
Helsinki
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Honkapohja, Seppo
  • Kaushik, Mitra
  • Bank of Finland

Time of origin

  • 2018

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