Arbeitspapier

Do fiscal rules constrain fiscal policy? A meta-regression-analysis

We implement a meta-regression-analysis for the budgetary impact of numerical fiscal rules. Based on 30 studies published in the last decade, we offer a consensus estimate with respect to the level of statistical significance, provide suggestive evidence for the effect size, and identify study features of relevance for the measured impact of fiscal rules. Overall, the results document a constraining impact of rules. However, this impact is weakened if refined identification strategies are employed. Moreover, the results provide evidence for a publication bias in which journals are more likely to report constraining and statistically significant effects compared to working papers. We further provide recommendations for future research on the budgetary impact of fiscal rules.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: ZEW Discussion Papers ; No. 16-027

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General
National Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt
Thema
fiscal rules
meta-regression-analysis
public finances

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Heinemann, Friedrich
Moessinger, Marc-Daniel
Yeter, Mustafa
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)
(wo)
Mannheim
(wann)
2016

Handle
URN
urn:nbn:de:bsz:180-madoc-409042
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:44 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Heinemann, Friedrich
  • Moessinger, Marc-Daniel
  • Yeter, Mustafa
  • Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung (ZEW)

Entstanden

  • 2016

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