Arbeitspapier

Market structure scenarios in international steam coal trade

The seaborne steam coal market changed in recent years. Trade volumes grew dynamically, important players emerged and since 2007 prices increased significantly and remained relatively high since then. In this paper we analyse market equilibria in the years 2006 and 2008 by testing for two possible market structure scenarios in this market: perfect competition and an oligopoly setup with major exporters competing in quantities. We conclude from our results that international steam coal trade is not perfectly competitive as there is a large spread between marginal costs and prices and a low capacity utilisation in 2008. Further, trade flows are generally more diversified in reality than in the competitive scenario. However, also the Cournot scenarios fail to accurately explain real market outcomes. We conclude that only more sophisticated models of strategic behaviour can predict market equilibria in international steam coal trade.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: EWI Working Paper ; No. 11/02

Classification
Wirtschaft
Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
Production, Pricing, and Market Structure; Size Distribution of Firms
Mining, Extraction, and Refining: Hydrocarbon Fuels
Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation: Demand and Supply; Prices
Subject
Steam coal trade
mining costs
market structure
Kohle
Außenhandel
Marktstruktur
Außenhandelspreis
Welt

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Trüby, Johannes
Paulus, Moritz
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Energy Economics at the University of Cologne (EWI)
(where)
Köln
(when)
2011

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Trüby, Johannes
  • Paulus, Moritz
  • Institute of Energy Economics at the University of Cologne (EWI)

Time of origin

  • 2011

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