Journal article | Zeitschriftenartikel

Stochastic model specification search for Gaussian and partial non-Gaussian state space models

Model specification for state space models is a difficult task as one has to decide which components to include in the model and to specify whether these components are fixed or time-varying. To this aim a new model space MCMC method is developed in this paper. It is based on extending the Bayesian variable selection approach which is usually applied to variable selection in regression models to state space models. For non-Gaussian state space models stochastic model search MCMC makes use of auxiliary mixture sampling. We focus on structural time series models including seasonal components, trend or intervention. The method is applied to various well-known time series.

Stochastic model specification search for Gaussian and partial non-Gaussian state space models

Urheber*in: Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia; Wagner, Helga

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Extent
Seite(n): 85-100
Language
Englisch
Notes
Status: Postprint; begutachtet (peer reviewed)

Bibliographic citation
Journal of Econometrics, 154(1)

Subject
Wirtschaft
Wirtschaftsstatistik, Ökonometrie, Wirtschaftsinformatik

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia
Wagner, Helga
Event
Veröffentlichung
(where)
Niederlande
(when)
2009

DOI
URN
urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-261769
Rights
GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften. Bibliothek Köln
Last update
21.06.2024, 4:27 PM CEST

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Object type

  • Zeitschriftenartikel

Associated

  • Frühwirth-Schnatter, Sylvia
  • Wagner, Helga

Time of origin

  • 2009

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