Arbeitspapier

Welfare costs of business cycles when markets are incomplete

This paper analyzes the welfare costs of business cycles when workers face uninsurable idiosyncratic labor income risk. In accordance with the previous literature, this paper decomposes labor income risk into an aggregate and an idiosyncratic component, but in contrast to the previous literature, this paper allows for multiple sources of idiosyncratic labor income risk. Using the multi-dimensional approach to idiosyncratic risk, this paper provides a general characterization of the welfare cost of business cycles when preferences and the (marginal) process of individual labor income in the economy with business cycles are given. The general analysis shows that the introduction of multiple sources of idiosyncratic risk never decreases the welfare cost of business cycles, and strictly increases it if there are cyclical fluctuations across the different sources of risk. Finally, this paper also provides a quantitative analysis of multi-dimensional labor income risk based on a version of the model that is calibrated to match U.S. labor market data. The quantitative analysis suggests that realistic variations across two particular dimensions of idiosyncratic labor income risk increase the welfare cost of business cycles by a substantial amount.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Working Paper ; No. 2004-08

Classification
Wirtschaft
Incomplete Markets
Macroeconomics: Consumption; Saving; Wealth
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
Subject
Welfare Cost of Business Cycles
Labor Market Risk
Incomplete Markets
Konjunktur
Wohlfahrtsanalyse
Lohn
Risiko
Unvollkommener Markt
USA

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Krebs, Tom
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Brown University, Department of Economics
(where)
Providence, RI
(when)
2004

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:44 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Krebs, Tom
  • Brown University, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2004

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