Are short-lived jobs stepping stones to long-lasting jobs?

Arbeitspapier

This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.

Object Details

• Language: Englisch

References and Relationships

• Bibliographic citation: Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 4007

Classification and Topics

• Classification: Wirtschaft ; Statistical Simulation Methods: General ; Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies ; Job, Occupational, and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion ; Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
• Subject: Event history model ; transition data ; state dependence ; short-lived jobs ; stepping stone effect ; long-lasting jobs ; Absolventen ; Langzeitarbeitslosigkeit ; Berufliche Integration ; Befristeter Arbeitsvertrag ; Arbeitsverhältnis ; Arbeitsplatzsicherung ; Belgien

Contributors, Places and Time

• Event: Geistige Schöpfung
• (who): Cockx, Bart Leo Wim ; Picchio, Matteo
• Event: Veröffentlichung
• (who): Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
• (where): Bonn
• (when): 2009

Further information

• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/35399
• URN: urn:nbn:de:101:1-20090304383
• Last update: 10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET