Arbeitspapier
Are short-lived jobs stepping stones to long-lasting jobs?
This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs (enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.
- Sprache
-
Englisch
- Erschienen in
-
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 4007
- Klassifikation
-
Wirtschaft
Statistical Simulation Methods: General
Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
Job, Occupational, and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
- Thema
-
Event history model
transition data
state dependence
short-lived jobs
stepping stone effect
long-lasting jobs
Absolventen
Langzeitarbeitslosigkeit
Berufliche Integration
Befristeter Arbeitsvertrag
Arbeitsverhältnis
Arbeitsplatzsicherung
Belgien
- Ereignis
-
Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Cockx, Bart Leo Wim
Picchio, Matteo
- Ereignis
-
Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
-
Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
- (wo)
-
Bonn
- (wann)
-
2009
- Handle
- URN
-
urn:nbn:de:101:1-20090304383
- Letzte Aktualisierung
-
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Cockx, Bart Leo Wim
- Picchio, Matteo
- Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)
Entstanden
- 2009