Arbeitspapier

How the Maastricht regime fosters divergence as well as fragility

This paper investigates the phenomenon of persistent macroeconomic divergence that has occurred across the eurozone in recent years. Optimal currency area theory would point toward asymmetric shocks and structural factors as the foremost candidate causes. The alternative hypothesis pursued here focuses on the working of the Maastricht regime itself, making it clear that the regime features powerful built-in destabilizers that foster divergence as well as fragility. Supposed adjustment mechanisms actually have turned out to undermine the operation of the currency union by making it less optimal,” that is, less subject to a one-size-fits-all” monetary policy and common nominal exchange rate, in view of the resulting business cycle desynchronization and related build-up of financial imbalances. The threats of fragility and divergence reinforce each other. Without regime reform these developments could potentially spiral out of control, threatening the long-term survival of EMU.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 460

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Monetary Policy
Central Banks and Their Policies
Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
Comparative or Joint Analysis of Fiscal and Monetary Policy; Stabilization; Treasury Policy
Incomes Policy; Price Policy
Studies of Particular Policy Episodes
Thema
Economic and monetary union
optimum currency area theory
wageprice flexibility
divergence
imbalances

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Bibow, Jörg
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Levy Economics Institute of Bard College
(wo)
Annandale-on-Hudson, NY
(wann)
2006

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Bibow, Jörg
  • Levy Economics Institute of Bard College

Entstanden

  • 2006

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