Arbeitspapier

Global liquidity and exchange market pressure in emerging market economies

We analyse the relationship between global liquidity and exchange market pressure in 32 emerging market economies. Exchange market pressure is a measure of excess currency demand that is applicable across different exchange rate regimes as it accounts for changes in exchange rates, foreign exchange reserves and, optionally, interest rates. Surges in monetary liquidity, credit provision, and short-term funding in advanced economies are shown to be robustly associated with appreciation pressure on emerging market currencies. The underlying transmission mechanism, however, only operates under regular financial market conditions: ample liquidity provision in advanced economies contributes to the build-up of financial stability risks in emerging market economies in tranquil times, but further liquidity injections do not avert the pronounced depreciation pressure on emerging market currencies in times of high market volatility.

ISBN
978-3-95729-433-3
Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Bundesbank Discussion Paper ; No. 05/2018

Classification
Wirtschaft
Foreign Exchange
Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
Central Banks and Their Policies
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Panel Data Models; Spatio-temporal Models
Subject
global liquidity
emerging markets
exchange market pressure
search for yield
global financial cycle

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hossfeld, Oliver
Pramor, Marcus
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Deutsche Bundesbank
(where)
Frankfurt a. M.
(when)
2018

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:42 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hossfeld, Oliver
  • Pramor, Marcus
  • Deutsche Bundesbank

Time of origin

  • 2018

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