Arbeitspapier

Financial Imbalances, Crisis Probability and Monetary Policy in Norway

We assess the strength of the impact of a monetary policy shock on financial crisis probability in Norway. Policy effects go via the interest rate impact on credit, house prices and banks' wholesale funding. We find that the impact of a monetary policy shock on crisis probability is about 10 times larger than what previous studies suggest. The large impact is mostly due to a fall in property prices and banks' wholesale funding in response to a contractionary monetary policy shock. In contrast, and in line with existing literature, there is a more limited contribution to reduced crisis probability from the impact of monetary policy on credit.

ISBN
978-82-8379-005-4
Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Working Paper ; No. 21/2017

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
Monetary Policy
Thema
structural VAR
financial imbalances
financial crisis
monetary policy

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Alstadheim, Ragna
Robstad, Ørjan
Vonen, Nikka Husom
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Norges Bank
(wo)
Oslo
(wann)
2017

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Alstadheim, Ragna
  • Robstad, Ørjan
  • Vonen, Nikka Husom
  • Norges Bank

Entstanden

  • 2017

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