Arbeitspapier

Money velocity and the natural rate of interest

M1 velocity is, approximately, the permanent component of the short-term rate. This implies that agents-in deciding how much wealth to allocate to non interest bearing M1, as opposed to interest-bearing assets-almost uniquely react to permanent shocks to the opportunity cost, essentially ignoring transitory shocks. This suggests that money-demand models must be modified to allow for such distinct reaction to permanent and transitory variation in the opportunity cost of holding M1. Under monetary regimes making inflation stationary, permanent fluctuations in M1 velocity uniquely reflect, to a close approximation, permanent shifts in the natural rate of interest.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: Discussion Papers ; No. 20-22

Classification
Wirtschaft
Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Subject
Money demand
unit roots
cointegration
structural VARs
natural rate of interest

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Benati, Luca
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
University of Bern, Department of Economics
(where)
Bern
(when)
2020

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:41 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Benati, Luca
  • University of Bern, Department of Economics

Time of origin

  • 2020

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