Arbeitspapier

Skills-Displacing Technological Change and Its Impact on Jobs: Challenging Technological Alarmism?

We use data from a new international dataset - the European Skills and Jobs Survey - to create a unique measure of skills-displacing technological change (SDT), defined as technological change that may render workers' skills obsolete. We find that 16 percent of adult workers in the EU are impacted by SDT, with significant variance across countries, ranging from a high of 28 percent in Estonia, to below seven percent in Bulgaria. Despite claims that technological change contributes to the deskilling of jobs, we present evidence that SDT is associated with dynamic upskilling of workers. The paper also presents the first direct micro-evidence of the reinstatement effect of automating technology, namely a positive contribution of automation to the task content and skills complexity of the jobs of incumbent workers. Despite the recent focus on the polarising impact of automation and associated reskilling needs of lower-skilled individuals, our evidence also draws attention to the fact that SDT predominantly affects higher-skilled workers, reinforcing inequalities in upskilling opportunities within workplaces. Workers affected by SDT also experience greater job insecurity.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 12541

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
Technological Change: Choices and Consequences; Diffusion Processes
Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
Thema
technological change
automation
skills
tasks
skill mismatch
skills obsolescence

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
McGuinness, Seamus
Pouliakas, Konstantinos
Redmond, Paul
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(wo)
Bonn
(wann)
2019

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:43 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • McGuinness, Seamus
  • Pouliakas, Konstantinos
  • Redmond, Paul
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Entstanden

  • 2019

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