Jump variation estimation with noisy high frequency financial data via wavelets

Artikel

This paper develops a method to improve the estimation of jump variation using high frequency data with the existence of market microstructure noises. Accurate estimation of jump variation is in high demand, as it is an important component of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation, derivative pricing and risk management. The method has a two-step procedure with detection and estimation. In Step 1, we detect the jump locations by performing wavelet transformation on the observed noisy price processes. Since wavelet coefficients are significantly larger at the jump locations than the others, we calibrate the wavelet coefficients through a threshold and declare jump points if the absolute wavelet coefficients exceed the threshold. In Step 2 we estimate the jump variation by averaging noisy price processes at each side of a declared jump point and then taking the difference between the two averages of the jump point. Specifically, for each jump location detected in Step 1, we get two averages from the observed noisy price processes, one before the detected jump location and one after it, and then take their difference to estimate the jump variation. Theoretically, we show that the two-step procedure based on average realized volatility processes can achieve a convergence rate close to OP(n-4/9), which is better than the convergence rate OP(n-1/4) for the procedure based on the original noisy process, where n is the sample size. Numerically, the method based on average realized volatility processes indeed performs better than that based on the price processes. Empirically, we study the distribution of jump variation using Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks and compare the results using the original price process and the average realized volatility processes.

Angaben zum Objekt

• Sprache: Englisch

Verweise und Beziehungen

• Erschienen in: Journal: Econometrics ; ISSN: 2225-1146 ; Volume: 4 ; Year: 2016 ; Issue: 3 ; Pages: 1-26 ; Basel: MDPI

Klassifikation und Themen

• Klassifikation: Wirtschaft ; Econometrics ; Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General ; Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes ; Model Construction and Estimation ; Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection ; Financial Econometrics ; Financial Forecasting and Simulation
• Thema: high frequency financial data ; jump variation ; realized volatility ; integrated volatility ; microstructure noise ; wavelet methods ; nonparametric methods

Beteiligte, Orts- und Zeitangaben

• Ereignis: Geistige Schöpfung
• (wer): Zhang, Xin ; Kim, Donggyu ; Wang, Yazhen
• Ereignis: Veröffentlichung
• (wer): MDPI
• (wo): Basel
• (wann): 2016

Weitere Informationen

• DOI: doi:10.3390/econometrics4030034
• Handle: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/171885
• Letzte Aktualisierung: 10.03.2025, 11:41 MEZ