Arbeitspapier

Fiscal policy shocks and stock prices in the United States

This paper uses a range of structural VARs to show that the response of US stock prices to fiscal shocks changed in 1980. Over the period 1955-1979 an expansionary spending or revenue shock was associated with modestly higher stock prices. After 1980, along with a decline in the fiscal multiplier, the response of stock prices to the same shock became negative. We use an estimated DSGE model to show that this change is consistent with a switch from an economy characterised by a more active fiscal policy and passive monetary policy to one where fiscal policy was passive and the central bank acted aggressively in response to inflationary shocks.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2018/20

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Thema
Fiscal policy shocks
Stockprices
VAR
DSGE

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Mumtaz, Haroon
Theodoridis, Konstantinos
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
(wo)
Cardiff
(wann)
2018

Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ

Datenpartner

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Objekttyp

  • Arbeitspapier

Beteiligte

  • Mumtaz, Haroon
  • Theodoridis, Konstantinos
  • Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School

Entstanden

  • 2018

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