Arbeitspapier
Fiscal policy shocks and stock prices in the United States
This paper uses a range of structural VARs to show that the response of US stock prices to fiscal shocks changed in 1980. Over the period 1955-1979 an expansionary spending or revenue shock was associated with modestly higher stock prices. After 1980, along with a decline in the fiscal multiplier, the response of stock prices to the same shock became negative. We use an estimated DSGE model to show that this change is consistent with a switch from an economy characterised by a more active fiscal policy and passive monetary policy to one where fiscal policy was passive and the central bank acted aggressively in response to inflationary shocks.
- Sprache
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Englisch
- Erschienen in
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Series: Cardiff Economics Working Papers ; No. E2018/20
- Klassifikation
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Wirtschaft
- Thema
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Fiscal policy shocks
Stockprices
VAR
DSGE
- Ereignis
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Geistige Schöpfung
- (wer)
-
Mumtaz, Haroon
Theodoridis, Konstantinos
- Ereignis
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Veröffentlichung
- (wer)
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Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
- (wo)
-
Cardiff
- (wann)
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2018
- Handle
- Letzte Aktualisierung
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10.03.2025, 11:42 MEZ
Datenpartner
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Objekttyp
- Arbeitspapier
Beteiligte
- Mumtaz, Haroon
- Theodoridis, Konstantinos
- Cardiff University, Cardiff Business School
Entstanden
- 2018