Arbeitspapier

The Unemployed with Jobs and without Jobs

Potential workers are classified as unemployed if they seek work but are not working. The unemployed population contains two groups—those with jobs and those without jobs. Those with jobs are on furlough or temporary layoff. This group expanded tremendously in April 2020, at the trough of the pandemic recession. They wait out periods of non-work with the understanding that their jobs still exist and that they will be recalled. We show that the resulting temporary-layoff unemployment mostly dissipated by the end of 2020. Potential workers without jobs constitute what we call jobless unemployment. Shocks that elevate jobless unemployment have much more persistent effects. Historical major adverse shocks, such as the financial crisis in 2008, created mostly jobless unemployment and consequently caused extended periods of elevated unemployment. Jobless unemployment reached its pandemic peak in November 2020, at 4.9%, modest by historical standards, and has declined at a faster-than-historical pace since.

Language
Englisch

Bibliographic citation
Series: IZA Discussion Papers ; No. 15136

Classification
Wirtschaft
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Labor Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
Subject
business cycle
recovery
unemployment
recession
layoffs
temporary layoff
recall
COVID-19

Event
Geistige Schöpfung
(who)
Hall, Robert E.
Kudlyak, Marianna
Event
Veröffentlichung
(who)
Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)
(where)
Bonn
(when)
2022

Handle
Last update
10.03.2025, 11:43 AM CET

Data provider

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Object type

  • Arbeitspapier

Associated

  • Hall, Robert E.
  • Kudlyak, Marianna
  • Institute of Labor Economics (IZA)

Time of origin

  • 2022

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