Artikel

Cycles inside cycles: Spanish regional aggregation

This paper sets out a comprehensive framework to identify regional business cycles within Spain and analyses their stylised features and the degree of synchronisation both within them and between them and the Spanish economy. We show that the regional cycles are quite heterogeneous although they display some degree of synchronisation. We also propose a dynamic factor model to cluster the regional comovements. We find that the Spanish business cycle is not the same as those of the 17 regions, but is the sum of the different regional behaviours. Clusters with a high industrial weight, per capita income and human capital and a low unemployment rate are also more synchronized. The implications derived from our results are useful both for policy makers and analysts.

Sprache
Englisch

Erschienen in
Journal: SERIEs - Journal of the Spanish Economic Association ; ISSN: 1869-4195 ; Volume: 3 ; Year: 2012 ; Issue: 4 ; Pages: 423-456 ; Heidelberg: Springer

Klassifikation
Wirtschaft
Single Equation Models; Single Variables: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models: Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
Business Fluctuations; Cycles
Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
Thema
business cycle
synchronisation measures
dynamic factor models
regional policy
Regionaler Konjunkturzyklus
Konjunkturzusammenhang
Regionalpolitik
Spanien

Ereignis
Geistige Schöpfung
(wer)
Gadea, Maria Dolores
Gómez-Loscos, Ana
Montañés, Antonio
Ereignis
Veröffentlichung
(wer)
Springer
(wo)
Heidelberg
(wann)
2012

DOI
doi:10.1007/s13209-011-0068-1
Handle
Letzte Aktualisierung
10.03.2025, 11:45 MEZ

Datenpartner

Dieses Objekt wird bereitgestellt von:
ZBW - Deutsche Zentralbibliothek für Wirtschaftswissenschaften - Leibniz-Informationszentrum Wirtschaft. Bei Fragen zum Objekt wenden Sie sich bitte an den Datenpartner.

Objekttyp

  • Artikel

Beteiligte

  • Gadea, Maria Dolores
  • Gómez-Loscos, Ana
  • Montañés, Antonio
  • Springer

Entstanden

  • 2012

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